VOL. I · THE HINDSIGHT EDITIONHISTORY LOOKS OBVIOUS AFTER IT HAPPENS. LIFE DOESN’T.SEPTEMBER 2026

Would you have seen it? · Case 013

Sports · FootballSixth round, 2000 NFL draft

Pick 199

Tom Brady in a New England Patriots uniform, helmet on, before a game
Tom Brady with the New England Patriots in September 2014, fourteen years after the draft described here. Photograph: Andrew Campbell · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons File page ↗

Six quarterbacks have already been selected. Michigan’s Tom Brady remains available, and your roster has more immediate needs than another developmental passer.

  • Brady shared playing time in college rather than arriving as an uncontested blue-chip prospect.
  • Every remaining pick has a low probability of becoming a long-term starter.
  • New England itself made six earlier selections before using No. 199 on Brady.
What would you have done?

Evidence ledger

Sources & calculation notes

  1. Pro Football Hall of Fame — 2000 National Football League Draft ↗
  2. Pro Football Hall of Fame — Brady career record overview ↗