VOL. I · THE HINDSIGHT EDITIONHISTORY LOOKS OBVIOUS AFTER IT HAPPENS. LIFE DOESN’T.SEPTEMBER 2026
The Brickell district of Miami seen from above, condominium towers running down to the bay

Miami’s Brickell skyline photographed on 6 February 2010, inside the quarter this record is set in. Photograph: Averette · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Show your assumptions

What would it be worth?

A narrow calculator with a real dataset is better than a broad one that invents precision. The launch edition starts with one FHFA property-index illustration.

Index-tracking illustration

$850,000
Annualized index change 7.8%Major near-term drawdown −7.8%Inflation adjustment Not included

Method and source

Index-based illustration, not an appraisal or investment return. Excludes financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, improvements, transaction costs and rent.

Series: FHFA All-Transactions House Price Index for Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall, FL (MSAD), ATNHPIUS33124Q

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / FHFA data ↗

Formula: starting amount × ending index ÷ starting index. Annualized change is the compound rate between the two index observations. This is a counterfactual estimate, not money somebody literally lost.